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How Radio Can Battle Pandora – Part 1: Wake Up Radio

When broadcasters take a break from diminishing Pandora long enough to recognize that they have to worry about it, how do they respond?

More than a few broadcast companies are rushing to figure out how to manufacture personalized versions of their radio brands (yes, misbegotten “Pandora is a feature” crowd, I’m talking to you).  The idea is that this functionality has great consumer appeal, and Pandora’s success at offering it is a threat to the broader radio industry.

This functionality does have great consumer appeal, but that doesn’t mean it’s the recipe for conventional radio.  And that isn’t why Pandora is such a potential threat.

The fact is that radio – today’s radio – the kind in every home, workplace, and car – can already be personalized.

Every time you hit the button and change the station you have just personalized your radio experience.  And, like Pandora, the next song you hear can’t be predicted based on the one you just “skipped.”  Indeed, I’m here to tell you that punching the button is the exact same behavior as “skipping” the song.

Granted, the conventional “button-pushing” kind of personalization removes you from that particular radio brand.  But from the perspective of the consumer, skipping is skipping.

Okay, you might say, but Pandora uses all the thumbs up and thumbs down and skipping to craft a better radio experience for every consumer.

Not necessarily.  What Pandora constructs is a more uniform radio experience (note: I’m talking only about the music portion of the experience, not the spots, personalities, etc.). Fine tuning your offerings to my tastes is not the same as fine tuning your offerings to a uniform stream of content matched to any particular “genome.”  That’s because what I’ve heard before doesn’t necessarily predict what I want to hear next – let alone the genre of content I want next.

Further, from the consumer’s perspective a more “liked” (if not personal) blend of music is exactly what radio has been providing for generations.

Besides, I would bet that folks like “thumbing up” and “thumbing down” and “skipping” songs no more than they like changing stations.  Yes, everybody wants more variety – and ideally on one station, if at all possible.

None of this is intended to diminish the power of personalization in general and Pandora in particular.  I have written often enough on how profound this is. Just the fact that Pandora has the likes and dislikes of 100 million consumers is a staggering fact.

But broadcasters are under two mistaken perceptions:

  1. That Pandora doesn’t matter because radio is “big” and Pandora is “small.”  This is stupid thinking.
  2. That the way to battle Pandora and their like is by creating customizable versions of our brands or new brands which are built to be customized. This is wrong.

Pandora’s main advantage over broadcasters isn’t the fact that it can be customized.  It’s the fact that its ads can be delivered to particular individuals with particular characteristics and very little waste.  In other words, the threat now from Pandora is less an audience threat than an advertiser one.

Broadcasters are generally obsessed with foolish goals aimed at magnifying the reach of radio to more places and more devices and better measurement estimates of that listening.  Meanwhile, advertisers are recognizing the truth: That reach is less important than attention and accountability and estimates pale in comparison to 100% accurate metrics.

Wake up, Radio.

As we obsess on primping listening estimates for the advertising pie that pie is losing slices to more accountable alternatives – alternatives who know their audience by name.

(Click here for Part 2)

7 Comments;
  • Chris Byrnes

    Pandora cannot be local and that is the key to winning. Radio needs to sell its benefits and “variety” (of music) and “local” are two key benefits. Look at how important local radio became in Joplin and Slave Lake (Alberta Canada) during the recent natural disasters that occurred in those communities. Radio can survive this threat from Pandora just as we have survived all the other threats that have come before this one, but we need to be strategic about this and have a solid plan.

  • http://www.markramseymedia.com Mark Ramsey

    I have a different conclusion, Chris, which I'll share as soon as I write it :-)

  • cordellmediaace

    Pandora has found it's place among listeners and has a better solution for monetization.  Look at all of the press Netflix is getting right now.  Broadcast Radio is Blockbuster.  There are some really smart technology companies that can help radio to expand the listener experience and add new revenue.  My question is will radio embrace these new technologies?  I am starting to think not.  Unfortunately these new technology companies are going to start working with Pandora, Slacker and even XMSirius online.  
    Cordell Giesen
    Zambig.com

  • cordellmediaace

    Chris.  This is a carbon copy of what I have been hearing in radio for the last 10 years.  So you feel confident that radio is not going out of business. I agree.  What your not admitting is that the landscape for advertising dollars is changing quickly and broadcast radio is being left behind with little to no growth. Broadcast Radio, are you OK with that?

  • martin.

    I'm a big fan of Pandora and it's become an iPod replacement for me.  A year ago, I always used my iPod while working out listening to my favorite songs I found worthy of $1.29/song.  Today, I lean on Pandora.  
    I couldn't care less about the radio or non-radio debate.  It doesn't matter.  Let's call it audio all together.  I have limited time to consume media and Pandora is now eating into it.  But so far, I still listen to my favorite radio stations instead of Pandora while driving, at work, etc.  However, I haven't bought a song on iTunes in ages.  Your statement above makes little sense. ”In other words, the threat now from Pandora is less an audience threat than an advertiser one.”  Scale still matters.  It always will.  Advertisers need scale to make a dent in their numbers.  With too much targeting (in any media), the well becomes too shallow to make much sense.  There's just not enough eyeballs/ears available.  I agree that interactivity, accountability, and targeting are important.  However, you still need scale.  The ad spend on Pandora today is still very small while comparing it to traditional broadcast.  The vast majority is experimental spend — on a national and regional level.   Also, I'm far from sold on Pandora's monetization strategy.  Comparing it to Netflix makes little sense as Netflix is banking on subscription fees, not ads, and made it work.  Pandora's subscription business is negligible so far.  As their audience (and music royalty fees) increases, expect a lot more audio ads from Pandora without the way of 'skipping' to other stations.  It has to happen to make the model work.  I'm not sure how my Pandora consumption will change, but I might be 'skipping' back to my iPod.  - martin

  • http://www.markramseymedia.com/2011/06/how-radio-can-battle-pandora-part-2-beyond-music/ How Radio Can Battle Pandora – Part 2: Beyond Music | Mark Ramsey Media LLC

    [...] (This is part 2 of the post.  For part 1, go here) [...]

  • http://roulstonresearch.wordpress.com/2011/06/06/roulston-media-partner-on-how-traditional-radio-can-battle-pandora/ >Roulston Media Partner on How Traditional Radio Can Battle Pandora « The Collaborator by Roulston Research

    [...] class on-air shows with talent that will attract advertisers. You can read part 1 of his article at http://www.markramseymedia.com/2011/05/how-radio-can-battle-pandora-part-1-wake-up-radio/ and part 2 at [...]

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MRM President Mark Ramsey has worked with innumerable television and radio broadcasters over his career, including all the biggest names, from Clear Channel, CBS, Bonneville, Sirius XM...

Mark Ramsey